Toronto scores 52.81 (HIGH risk) as of 2026-08-07 — the second-highest score among all 16 host cities. Two disease signals drive this rating. Measles scores the maximum 100/100, derived from Canada's national outbreak of 944 confirmed cases through Epidemiological Week 16 (PAHO Situation Report 3), with Ontario's share allocated by historical PHAC provincial distribution; estimated provincial incidence is 3.28 cases per 100,000. COVID-19 scores 85/100, reflecting a very high case incidence of 66.15 per 100,000 in the current surveillance window — the highest COVID-19 burden among all host cities. No wastewater-based epidemiology data are available for Canada in this pipeline cycle. Coverage is low (46%), derived from PAHO national proportional estimates, and may underestimate true burden. Toronto is the highest-volume international gateway in this tournament, receiving 37,310 international arrivals this week — the largest of all 16 host cities. MMR vaccination (two doses) should be verified for all attendees and accredited personnel. COVID-19 precautions — including masking in crowded indoor venues — are strongly recommended given the very high case incidence. Public health authorities should be on high alert for both measles importations and respiratory cluster events throughout the tournament.
Model SCEME v3.1 · Updated August 7, 2026
Fan Brief
Updated daily
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Measles
High
High measles circulation in the city right now.
Highly contagious, airborne in crowded places (stadiums, transit, fan zones). Greatest risk is for those without 2 vaccine doses.
What to do
Confirm your 2 doses of the MMR vaccine before attending matches or crowded areas.
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COVID-19
High
High COVID-19 circulation in the city.
Spreads easily in closed, crowded places.
What to do
Consider a mask on transit and in crowded places; wash hands often.
Please consult a local doctor or pharmacist for guidance and medication.
Direct line
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