As of 27 July 2026, Mexico City is classified at MEDIUM epidemic risk (composite score 36.7). Measles is the primary driver, with an estimated incidence of 7.16 cases per 100,000 derived from Mexico's national outbreak (PAHO Situation Report 3, CDMX allocation), reaching 100% of the reference threshold. Mexico City is the highest-traffic venue in this analysis with 13,175 international arrivals, substantially amplifying importation and onward transmission risk. Dengue incidence is low at 0.66 cases per 100,000, with local transmission present but below levels seen in coastal states. Influenza ILI is minimal at 0.1%, and COVID-19 activity is low at 0.39 cases per 100,000. Surveillance data are based on national proportional estimates (Medium coverage tier). Mild and wet conditions (18 °C, 60% humidity, 4.7 mm precipitation) are typical of Mexico City's rainy season and may support Aedes mosquito breeding in standing water. No wastewater-based epidemiology programme is active in Mexico at this time. Recommended actions include mandatory MMR vaccination verification at all entry points, active febrile surveillance with measles and dengue case pathways, rapid isolation protocols for suspected measles cases, vector control around all venues, and daily coordination with Mexico's Secretaría de Salud and CDMX health authorities.
Model SCEME v3.1 · Updated July 27, 2026
Fan Brief
Updated daily
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Measles
High
High measles circulation in the city right now.
Highly contagious, airborne in crowded places (stadiums, transit, fan zones). Greatest risk is for those without 2 vaccine doses.
What to do
Confirm your 2 doses of the MMR vaccine before attending matches or crowded areas.
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Dengue
Low
Low dengue activity right now.
Low day-to-day risk.
What to do
Basic mosquito precautions are enough.
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COVID-19
Low
Low COVID-19 circulation.
Low risk right now.
What to do
Basic precautions are enough.
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Influenza
Low
Low flu circulation.
Low risk right now.
What to do
Basic hand hygiene is enough.
Please consult a local doctor or pharmacist for guidance and medication.
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