Guadalajara scores 44.15 (MEDIUM risk) as of 2026-08-07. Two signals dominate. Measles scores the maximum 100/100: Jalisco carries a proportional share of Mexico's 10,049-case national outbreak (PAHO Situation Report 3, EW1–19), with the state incidence estimated at 80.1 cases per 100,000, making Guadalajara the city with the highest measles signal among all 16 host cities. Dengue is the second-largest driver at 43.6/100, reflecting Jalisco's well-documented endemic dengue burden during the summer rainy season. COVID-19 and influenza contributions are minimal. No wastewater surveillance program is active. Data are derived from PAHO national proportional estimates at state level. Coverage is high (88%), but figures represent proportional allocations from national totals. Conditions are warm and partly humid (23°C–24°C, 61% relative humidity, 7.4 mm recent precipitation), consistent with continued Aedes vector activity. International arrivals are 2,610. MMR vaccination verification is strongly recommended for all attendees. Dengue prevention — insect repellent, protective clothing, elimination of standing water near venues — should be enforced. Medical teams should maintain heightened suspicion for both measles and dengue throughout the tournament.
Model SCEME v3.1 · Updated August 7, 2026
Fan Brief
Updated daily
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Measles
High
High measles circulation in the city right now.
Highly contagious, airborne in crowded places (stadiums, transit, fan zones). Greatest risk is for those without 2 vaccine doses.
What to do
Confirm your 2 doses of the MMR vaccine before attending matches or crowded areas.
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Dengue
Medium
Moderate dengue activity in the region.
Occasional outdoor risk, especially near standing water.
What to do
Use repellent during outdoor activities.
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COVID-19
Low
Low COVID-19 circulation.
Low risk right now.
What to do
Basic precautions are enough.
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Influenza
Low
Low flu circulation.
Low risk right now.
What to do
Basic hand hygiene is enough.
Please consult a local doctor or pharmacist for guidance and medication.
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